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Gold/Mining/Energy : CPN: Calpine Corporation
FRO 23.66-0.3%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: Daniel G. DeBusschere who wrote (125)8/16/2001 1:25:50 PM
From: Raymond Duray   of 555
 
Hi Daniel,

. I trust the CPN management not to use this to only hype their stock.

Why?

The traditional pricing on Alcoa's PNW power is, as I recall, somewhere in the neighborhood of $15/Mwh from BPA. CPN can in no way match this low rate, especially if transmission is involved. And, especially if it is considering single cycle NG generation. The only economically feasible gas-fired generation has to be combined cycle at the pot line, and then you gotta ask why Alcoa wouldn't manage the plant with force account rather than contracting to CPN. Union issues? That's one reason to allow CPN on the property, I reckon. But I'd think the steelworkers would be loathe to have a non-union workforce working side by side with them.

Interesting conjecture, though.

Best, Ray :)
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