Albert, Re: "I am not even going to insist on the fact that very unpopular statements that I have made on this thread proved to be more accurate than I would ever expected they would."
Well, credit where credit is due: if you made some good calls about Rambus, then congratulations. As for the multitude of other things, even the guys that get paid to make these calls (analysts) are wrong more than they are right. You can make assumptions, as long as you state your ideas for what they are, and not pretend that you have the facts under your belt. When you extend your assumptions to make a broad claim such as what people commonly refer to here as Conspiracy Theories, you are doing a service to no one.
By my definition, I consider a Conspiracy Theory to be one where the evidence backing it up is built on several layers of unsubstantiated rumors. For example, the discussion going on at the other thread. People are making a big deal about Intel pressuring other vendors, and threatening them with legal actions if they use the VIA DDR chipset. Their first assumption is that Intel is threatening them, rather than giving them their legal opinion. The second assumption is that Intel does not have the right to impose the license in the first place, or that Intel has refused to give out the license to VIA. Neither of these possibilities have direct evidence. The third assumption is that Intel usually pressures their customers into decisions they don't want to make, even though that is probably a media myth, since there has been no direct evidence of this either. Even if some of these assumptions turn out being right, who's to say that all of them are? Am I supposed to agree with a theory that is built on such uncertainty? There are too many ifs, and too many unknowns. And there are some people on this forum that do insert guesses on a regular basis, and call them facts. But I think I've gotten my point across, and I want you to know I read your posts because many of them have value in them that I think can be increased by stating your assumptions from the beginning, and pointing out to the reader whenever you are making a guess as opposed to stating a fact. Other people do, and I think it's very effective.
wanna_bmw |
