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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Tom Gordon who wrote (261)8/18/2001 10:55:29 AM
From: Ramsey SuRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
Tom,

would appreciate knowing where you got the $500B bad loan number from.

Just also want to suggest that in the real estate lending arena, bad loan does not equal total loss. During the S&L fiasco of the early 1990s, the collapse of that entire industry ultimately cost taxpayers around $500B (if I remember correctly).

Furthermore, the industry has wised up and much of the loan portfolios these days had been passed through as mortgage backed securities to the suckers (ma and pa investors who believe they are the safest investments).

I am in total agreement that real estate is a cyclical business and we are heading for the down cycle. I am just suggesting that the weakest links may not be where we expect.

Ramsey
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