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Strategies & Market Trends : Fidelity Select Sector funds

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To: Shihchung Diana Shiue who started this subject8/19/2001 7:45:22 AM
From: Jim Battaglia  Read Replies (1) of 4916
 
Fidelity Select Model

NYSE Dominant, Environment Positive

Of a maximum 13 points, Beasley NYSE Score: 10.00

Recommended Asset Investment: 75% to 100%

=================================================================================

FUND SELECTION:

Scoring:
RSI/Stochastics > 50 = 1 point
Momentum > 0 = 1 point
TURTLE signal on a BUY = 1 point
Outperforming its 30-day avg = 1 point
Price Oscillator > 0 = 1 point
Price Oscillator trend > 0 = 1 point

===========================================================================================
BUY-SELL RULES:
Choose from issues with a score of 5 or higher (preferably 6)
Don't sell while RSI/Stochastics is 65 or higher
Consider going to cash or trading up if score drops below 4
===========================================================================================

Score RSI/Stoc Momentum PriceOsc PrOscChg vs30dAvg
-------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------
FDFAX Fidelity Sel 6.00 76.97 13.10 68.96 5.41 1.99
FSAGX Fidelity Sel 6.00 67.37 22.15 10.30 14.55 2.67
FSVLX Fidelity Sel 6.00 74.96 8.42 130.30 0.48 2.02
FSPFX Fidelity Sel 6.00 74.43 8.46 131.38 3.96 2.68
FPHAX Fidelity Sel 4.00 58.38 3.02 5.97 -1.22 -0.07
FSCHX Fidelity Sel 4.00 58.68 8.35 -19.33 2.37 0.14
FSPHX Fidelity Sel 4.00 57.69 2.87 0.12 -0.85 -0.11
FSHCX Fidelity Sel 4.00 55.93 10.21 119.34 -0.73 1.56
FSENX Fidelity Sel 3.00 54.51 10.16 -119.82 5.72 -0.66
FNARX Fidelity Sel 3.00 53.02 10.12 -108.59 5.58 -0.55
FSRBX Fidelity Sel 3.00 68.52 -2.85 74.70 -4.80 0.29
FSMEX Fidelity Sel 2.00 46.02 6.22 -38.66 0.92 -0.43
FSESX Fidelity Sel 2.00 36.12 10.47 -542.99 20.41 -4.05
FSNGX Fidelity Sel 2.00 41.42 5.30 -207.73 5.59 -1.96
FSDPX Fidelity Sel 2.00 39.88 2.43 -75.56 2.14 -0.76
FBIOX Fidelity Sel 1.00 31.10 1.56 -251.04 -6.98 -4.88
FSAVX Fidelity Sel 1.00 41.93 -22.51 86.24 -22.96 -2.78
FSRFX Fidelity Sel 1.00 33.49 -16.58 15.70 -11.70 -1.84
FSHOX Fidelity Sel 1.00 40.28 -8.07 40.21 -6.30 -0.57
FSPCX Fidelity Sel 1.00 34.73 3.56 -69.84 -0.58 -1.19
FBMPX Fidelity Sel 0.00 24.32 -16.89 -129.27 -17.92 -5.06
FSDCX Fidelity Sel 0.00 23.30 -16.78 -236.07 -23.41 -7.42
FSRPX Fidelity Sel 0.00 34.11 -17.18 -32.29 -10.77 -2.39
FIDSX Fidelity Sel 0.00 39.95 -9.08 -32.72 -7.89 -1.86
FDLSX Fidelity Sel 0.00 26.76 -14.68 -107.81 -12.92 -3.87
FNINX Fidelity Sel 0.00 27.37 -17.08 -389.73 -36.42 -11.66
FSLBX Fidelity Sel 0.00 27.49 -18.93 -126.22 -18.73 -5.07
FSPTX Fidelity Sel 0.00 28.11 -16.48 -208.51 -31.36 -8.41
FSTCX Fidelity Sel 0.00 26.52 -18.11 -158.92 -21.20 -5.94
FDCPX Fidelity Sel 0.00 36.35 -15.87 -112.44 -31.35 -6.99
FBSOX Fidelity Sel 0.00 22.94 -11.37 -49.49 -12.34 -2.95
FSCPX Fidelity Sel 0.00 36.73 -6.20 -41.43 -2.98 -1.15
FSUTX Fidelity Sel 0.00 25.35 -12.95 -136.78 -14.38 -4.50
FSAIX Fidelity Sel 0.00 33.19 -16.45 -36.93 -9.72 -2.25
FSCSX Fidelity Sel 0.00 22.32 -13.60 -230.13 -26.97 -8.11
FSLEX Fidelity Sel 0.00 21.89 -7.53 -169.55 -10.21 -4.29
FSCGX Fidelity Sel 0.00 46.74 -4.39 -74.40 -4.77 -1.88
FWRLX Fidelity Sel 0.00 21.24 -10.81 -276.01 -22.41 -7.82
FSDAX Fidelity Sel 0.00 40.01 -13.69 -71.05 -2.71 -1.47
FSELX Fidelity Sel 0.00 42.27 -15.16 -13.35 -35.84 -6.30
FCYIX Fidelity Sel 0.00 40.52 -9.56 -37.34 -6.39 -1.66

=====================================================================

PART III: The Turtle Module analysis for funds in the select family

TURTLE BUY SIGNAL: Funds or stocks making new one-month high
TURTLE SELL SIGNAL: Funds or stocks making new two-week low

ROC = Rate of Change (Gain or Loss)

==============================================================================

THESE CHANGED FROM SELL TO BUY TODAY
(to run through FT or FTOOLS, set family = newbuy)

Family Members: 41.00
New BUY Members: 0.00
Percent on New BUY: 0.00

1mo ROC 1dayROC 1wk ROC 2wk ROC
-------- -------- -------- --------

===============================================================================

THESE CHANGED FROM BUY TO SELL TODAY
(to run through FT or FTOOLS, set family = newsell)

Family Members: 41.00
New SELL Members: 1.00
Percent on New SELL: 2.44

2wk ROC 1dayROC 1wk ROC 1mo ROC
-------- -------- -------- --------
FSRBX Fidelity Sel Banking/507 -0.97 -0.77 -0.83 1.14

===============================================================================
THESE HAD THEIR HIGHEST PRICE TODAY OF THE PAST 10 WEEKS
(to run through FT or FTOOLS, set family = 10wkhigh)

Family Members: 41.00
10-Week High Members: 1.00
Percent on 10-Week High: 2.44

10wk ROC 1wk ROC 1mo ROC SignalDate SinceSig
-------- -------- -------- ---------- --------
FDFAX Fidelity Sel Food & A 3.30 1.50 1.94 B,07/18/01 2.08

===============================================================================

THESE HAD THEIR HIGHEST PRICE TODAY OF THE PAST MONTH
(to run through FT or FTOOLS, set family = 1mohigh)

Family Members: 41.00
One-Month High Members: 2.00
Percent on One-Month High: 4.88

1mo ROC 1day ROC 2wk ROC SignalDate SinceSig
-------- -------- -------- ---------- --------
FSAGX Fidelity Sel Gold Por 2.51 1.09 3.51 B,08/10/01 2.14
FDFAX Fidelity Sel Food & A 1.94 0.22 1.11 B,07/18/01 2.08

===============================================================================

THESE HAD THEIR HIGHEST PRICE TODAY OF THE PAST 2 WEEKS
(to run through FT or FTOOLS, set family = 2wkhigh)

Family Members: 41.00
2-Week High Members: 2.00
Percent on 2-Week High: 4.88

2wk ROC 1day ROC 1mo ROC SignalDate SinceSig
-------- -------- -------- ---------- --------
FSAGX Fidelity Sel Gold Por 3.51 1.09 2.51 B,08/10/01 2.14
FDFAX Fidelity Sel Food & A 1.11 0.22 1.94 B,07/18/01 2.08

===============================================================================

THESE HAD THEIR LOWEST PRICE TODAY OF THE PAST 2 WEEKS
(to run through FT or FTOOLS, set family = 2wklow)

Family Members: 41.00
2-Week SELL Members: 23.00
Percent on 2-Week SELL: 56.10

2wk ROC 1day ROC 1wk ROC SignalDate SinceSig
-------- -------- -------- ---------- --------
FNINX Fidelity Sel Network -16.12 -3.44 -8.77 S,05/30/01 -24.26
FSELX Fidelity Sel Electron -12.92 -4.57 -6.50 S,08/15/01 -3.95
FSPTX Fidelity Sel Technolo -12.46 -3.66 -6.45 S,05/30/01 -13.11
FDCPX Fidelity Sel Computer -12.07 -3.41 -6.27 S,08/09/01 -6.50
FWRLX Fidelity Sel Wireless -10.59 -2.45 -4.30 S,05/10/01 -19.74
FSCSX Fidelity Sel Software -10.56 -2.50 -4.94 S,07/06/01 -10.49
FSDCX Fidelity Sel Develop -10.15 -2.48 -4.93 S,05/30/01 -14.82
FSTCX Fidelity Sel Telecomm -8.04 -2.17 -4.49 S,05/29/01 -13.85
FSLBX Fidelity Sel Brokerag -7.80 -2.11 -3.89 S,05/30/01 -10.11
FBMPX Fidelity Sel Multimed -6.92 -1.30 -4.29 S,06/14/01 -6.57
FSLEX Fidelity Sel Environm -5.97 -1.10 -2.02 S,06/12/01 -11.07
FSUTX Fidelity Sel Utilitie -5.96 -1.66 -2.88 S,07/23/01 -4.93
FDLSX Fidelity Sel Leisure/ -5.41 -1.02 -3.17 S,06/12/01 -7.59
FSAVX Fidelity Sel Automoti -4.59 -3.44 -3.84 S,08/09/01 -3.27
FSRPX Fidelity Sel Retail/1 -3.84 -1.55 -0.95 S,06/15/01 -3.16
FSCGX Fidelity Sel Industri -3.74 -1.51 -1.73 S,06/14/01 -6.18
FSRFX Fidelity Sel Transpor -3.39 -1.45 -2.16 S,08/09/01 -1.41
FSAIX Fidelity Sel Air Tran -3.24 -1.18 -2.13 S,08/08/01 -1.90
FBSOX Fidelity Sel Business -3.00 -1.25 -2.40 S,08/06/01 -2.67
FIDSX Fidelity Sel Financia -2.85 -1.19 -1.56 S,06/11/01 -3.25
FCYIX Fidelity Sel Cyclical -2.67 -1.36 -1.89 S,08/08/01 -0.68
FSCPX Fidelity Sel Consumer -1.85 -0.77 -0.38 S,05/31/01 -4.00
FSRBX Fidelity Sel Banking/ -0.97 -0.77 -0.83 S,08/17/01 0.00

===============================================================================

FAMILY SUMMARY FOR TURTLE BUY AND SELL SORTED BY SIGNAL DATE
(to study all funds now on a buy, set family = onbuy)

SignalDate Drawdown 1day ROC 1mo ROC sinceSig
---------- -------- -------- -------- --------
FSAGX Fidelity Sel Gold Por B,08/10/01 0.00 1.09 2.51 2.14
FSPHX Fidelity Sel Health C B,07/31/01 -1.06 -0.65 -0.02 -1.90
FPHAX Fidelity Sel Pharmace B,07/31/01 -0.91 -0.81 -0.10 -1.80
FDFAX Fidelity Sel Food & A B,07/18/01 0.00 0.22 1.94 2.08
FSPFX Fidelity Sel Paper & B,07/17/01 -0.67 -0.67 3.37 4.01
FSVLX Fidelity Sel Home Fin B,07/17/01 -0.75 -0.75 2.47 1.91
FSRBX Fidelity Sel Banking/ S,08/17/01 -1.14 -0.77 1.14 0.00
FSELX Fidelity Sel Electron S,08/15/01 -11.94 -4.57 -4.04 -3.95
FSRFX Fidelity Sel Transpor S,08/09/01 -3.20 -1.45 -4.56 -1.41
FSAVX Fidelity Sel Automoti S,08/09/01 -4.36 -3.44 -4.12 -3.27
FDCPX Fidelity Sel Computer S,08/09/01 -10.94 -3.41 -5.92 -6.50
FSDAX Fidelity Sel Defense S,08/09/01 -2.13 -0.52 -2.86 -0.65
FCYIX Fidelity Sel Cyclical S,08/08/01 -1.95 -1.36 -3.45 -0.68
FSAIX Fidelity Sel Air Tran S,08/08/01 -2.93 -1.18 -4.34 -1.90
FSHOX Fidelity Sel Construc S,08/08/01 -1.10 -1.10 -3.49 0.37
FNARX Fidelity Sel Natural S,08/08/01 -1.13 -0.91 1.32 2.27
FSENX Fidelity Sel Energy / S,08/08/01 -1.87 -1.31 2.59 2.12
FSHCX Fidelity Sel Medical S,08/06/01 -0.18 -0.18 -0.29 2.01
FBSOX Fidelity Sel Business S,08/06/01 -2.86 -1.25 -6.38 -2.67
FSUTX Fidelity Sel Utilitie S,07/23/01 -4.72 -1.66 -7.65 -4.93
FSPCX Fidelity Sel Insuranc S,07/10/01 -0.62 -0.62 -1.71 -3.30
FSCSX Fidelity Sel Software S,07/06/01 -9.06 -2.50 -9.29 -10.49
FSRPX Fidelity Sel Retail/1 S,06/15/01 -3.57 -1.55 -4.87 -3.16
FSCHX Fidelity Sel Chemical S,06/15/01 -0.53 -0.43 -1.15 -3.47
FBMPX Fidelity Sel Multimed S,06/14/01 -6.11 -1.30 -6.26 -6.57
FSCGX Fidelity Sel Industri S,06/14/01 -2.42 -1.51 -1.64 -6.18
FBIOX Fidelity Sel Biotechn S,06/14/01 -4.74 -1.98 -4.84 -13.61
FSLEX Fidelity Sel Environm S,06/12/01 -3.89 -1.10 -6.80 -11.07
FSMEX Fidelity Sel Medical S,06/12/01 -0.86 -0.20 -0.46 -3.22
FDLSX Fidelity Sel Leisure/ S,06/12/01 -4.58 -1.02 -4.86 -7.59
FIDSX Fidelity Sel Financia S,06/11/01 -2.38 -1.19 -1.94 -3.25
FSCPX Fidelity Sel Consumer S,05/31/01 -1.31 -0.77 -2.23 -4.00
FSPTX Fidelity Sel Technolo S,05/30/01 -11.03 -3.66 -9.16 -13.11
FNINX Fidelity Sel Network S,05/30/01 -14.85 -3.44 -9.65 -24.26
FSDPX Fidelity Sel Industri S,05/30/01 -0.21 -0.13 -3.30 -5.17
FSDCX Fidelity Sel Develop S,05/30/01 -9.11 -2.48 -10.02 -14.82
FSLBX Fidelity Sel Brokerag S,05/30/01 -6.40 -2.11 -5.52 -10.11
FSESX Fidelity Sel Energy S S,05/30/01 -2.59 -1.04 0.04 -28.12
FSTCX Fidelity Sel Telecomm S,05/29/01 -7.04 -2.17 -8.66 -13.85
FSNGX Fidelity Sel Natural S,05/29/01 -1.51 -0.59 -0.05 -14.69
FWRLX Fidelity Sel Wireless S,05/10/01 -9.28 -2.45 -10.02 -19.74

============================================================

JR
investnbest.com
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