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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: Earlie who wrote (117723)8/21/2001 11:35:52 AM
From: Shortcut  Read Replies (2) of 436258
 
Last week was extremly strong for the euro, but yesterday was fairly weak and today has not started well either. I am long, but not very confident right now. Good buy point at .9120 with resistance at .9140. Would love to see a break of .9140, go to .9145 or so and then a successful slow retest of .9140 and then onwards up.

Regarding the FED meeting, I think I will be long 1/2 position based on the following: We are in a strong uptrend with lost of speculators long. They will take some profits before the meeting (approx. 1 hr before). These people will want to join the trend again once the data is out. Since we are in an uptrend and sentiment is euro-positive it will have to be very dollar-positive and surprising news to shift the trend downwards. This also argues for a long position over the meeting. I have seen this pattern earlier during these last two weeks (for example ahead of productivity); profit-taking an hour before, start of little buyback 15 min before meeting (by non-speculators?) and then a euro-positive slant on the interpretation of the news and up we go.

If we don't break .9140 soon we might have to come down a bit to shake out some long specs (like myself -g-).
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