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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II

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To: Frank Pembleton who started this subject8/21/2001 3:56:30 PM
From: Frank Pembleton   of 36161
 
Yorkton Securities Energy Abstract Summary

Crude Oil
- trading range of $25-30 for WTI
- OPEC solidarity
- Oil demand hasn’t decreased, but increased with above average growth
- Heavy oil economics have improved on falling differentials
- 2001 forecast remains at $27/Bbl

Natural Gas
- Storage well ahead of last year at 298 Bcf
- Injection season will finish at or near full capacity
- Alberta and U.S. production up 5% year over year
- Despite prices, Canadian producers are still realizing prices that should generate excellent returns
- 2001 forecast $4.50/mmbtu NYMEX gas

Markets
- YTD in 2001TOG index has had the best return +7.2% excluding dividends
- YTD in 2001TOGP index +2.6%
- YTD in 2001TOGS index –13.3%
- Yorkton recommends a market weight in this sector, focusing more on oil weighted names
- PanCanadian Petroleum is their top pick with a $60.00 target.

Regards
Frank P.
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