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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis
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To: donald sew who wrote (16756)8/25/2001 8:34:56 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) of 52237
 
I've not been looking at the Rydex numbers very long,
and only have the data back to March 2, I'm sure there are
angles I still haven't explored in respect to the data I do have .
--------------
Some of it is wild I can't blame people for not believing unless
they see it for themself, ( posted some and got a lot of
"you must be wrong about taht " ) so I don't post it anymore.
It's odd people will say it's wrong but don't want to do the
work it takes to check it out.
In a nutshell while the Short Funds have higher Navs,
If you look at "when the majority traded in / out " ( and
the fund switchers have rolled over 3 times the shares than the
short funds had out at any one time ) Well with all that fund switching
90% of those who went in/out of the Short Funds "have lost much more money
than the Bulls in the OTC fund.
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It don't sound right that most bears would lose money in a bear market
but I have studied the data that proves it , their timing just seems to
be sorry as hell.
----------------------
I've also been looking at a lot of negatives, but corrections do happen
in both bull and bear markets some of them sizable.
As bad as the NDX A/D line is ( and it's awful )
however it's not near as awful as it was a month ago,
and the NDX A/D started to break to the upside fairly fast in the last
week before Friday ( even as the index fell ) and that was bullish divergence.
--------------------
Friday caught all the experts, and even the dummies like me
by surprise ( at least the strength of it did )
Jim
PS The NDX low of April 4th is almost 4 months back,
if we are going to test or set a new low we need to
do it fairly soon ( just as bull markets need to make new
highs to keep running bear markets need new lows )
4 months either way is about it.
If we do break it then things could get real nasty,
if we don't time is running out.
Jim
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