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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
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To: Geof Hollingsworth who wrote (561)8/29/2001 7:24:49 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
Good points, Geoff. Real estate downturns historically lag the markets by 18 months, probably for reason #1 in your discussion, as owners try to mobilize their reserves to avoid foreclosure. So the decline is slower (and RE markets are obvious less liquid than stocks so everything up AND down occurs over longer time frames). I agree that vacation and second homes, especially in resort areas will be among the first affected as debt holders attempt to deleverage.

Nice post.
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