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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 37.29+3.4%9:30 AM EST

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To: Bill F. who wrote (142427)8/30/2001 1:54:12 AM
From: BelowTheCrowd  Read Replies (2) of 186894
 
To me it's simple.

If you're going to argue that AMD's success is because "a rising tide raises all boats," and that their strategy may no longer work because the tide isn't rising anymore, then you MUST also consider that Intel has existed in the exact same environment and may face similar challenges when the tide stops rising or even falls.

Make no mistakes, I'm an Intel fan and former employee. But I'm not blind. I often specify/buy PCs for a living. It's not what it used to be. Many now consider PCs to be a "durable good," something you can buy and keep until it fails completely. I don't see anybody in the corporate world who's specifying top-end or even "top half" processor speeds for most of their people. A few people in limited situations need them, but that's the exception rather than the rule. I know many whose specification is pretty much "whatever processor was just discontinued and is available dirt cheap." Microsoft and others have NOT developed much software that demands more and more fast, expensive processors.

Unless some super-app comes along to require huge processing power in large numbers of PCs, then I believe the industry's entire cost structure will be under seige. Intel most certainly has more ability to deal with this than AMD, but I question whether the management of either company has what it takes to make a good transition to what is likely to be a radically different business model.

mg
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