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Technology Stocks : The *NEW* Frank Coluccio Technology Forum

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To: TheStockFairy who wrote (3847)8/31/2001 3:01:04 PM
From: Frank A. Coluccio  Read Replies (1) of 46821
 
TSF, would you mind scrubbing this piece on Arbinet, below? It's from a larger, multi-parted article from ZDnet on open marketplaces: "Independent marketplaces: Not dead yet."

In addition to Arbinet, two other exchanges were highlighted for this story: Altra Energy Technologies Inc., ChemConnect Inc. I've only presented Arbinet below.

The main article: techupdate.zdnet.com

Arbinet highlighted:
techupdate.zdnet.com

Telecom trades
By Lisa Vaas
eWEEK
August 14, 2001

Psst...want to buy or sell some telecom routing capacity? For you buyers: today only, real cheap. For you sellers: Don't worry, it's all anonymous. Nobody's going to tell your muck-a-muck retail customers you slid some capacity under the table at flea-market prices.

Sound good? If so, have we got an online exchange for you.

New York-based Arbinet-thexchange Inc. runs an independent e-marketplace where telecommunications carriers can not only trade calling capacity of all kinds--from traditional voice calls to VOIP (voice-over-IP) minutes—but also complete the connections they've bought by connecting their networks directly to Arbinet's voice and IP switches.

So far, the idea is clicking with buyers and sellers alike. Currently, Arbinet is accounting for sales of about 2 billion minutes annually. While that's only a small fraction of the estimated total of 200 billion to 250 billion minutes of voice capacity sold annually, it represents between 67 percent and 80 percent of all now sold by independent online exchanges, according to Arbinet President and CEO J. Curt Hockemeier. Compare that with Arbinet's competition, such as e-marketplace Band-X Ltd., for example. Experts estimate it's handling trades at a rate of about 300 million minutes per year.

But eWEEK has other reasons for believing Arbinet is going to survive the independent exchange die-off. Yes, it recently received a nice financing deal--$35 million. And, like other successful independent e-marketplaces, it's shown creativity in expanding its sources of revenue. The exchange, for example, has developed add-on subscription services. One is called Axcess Code. For $1,950 per month, Arbinet continuously updates 3,500 international dialing prefixes so members can complete calls.

But what really stamps Arbinet as a likely survivor is that it delivers real value by helping members stay nimble in the fast-moving telecom market. Arbinet imparts to carriers the mosquito-like ability to zero in on a market, suck it dry, then fly off to a juicier opportunity without spending money on infrastructure.

"The general benefit is flexibility," said a staffer from the carrier services of an East Coast VOIP provider who requested anonymity. The VOIP outfit was in negotiations to join Arbinet when this story was going to press. "We could get better rates than we can by going through an exchange like Arbinet, but it takes time to provision things. [By using an exchange like Arbinet], you can move quickly into new markets or revisit existing opportunities."

Telecommunications companies join Arbinet as members, paying a $10,000 application fee, submitting to a background credit check and hooking up some capacity--DS-3, OC-3, T-1 lines, for example--to Arbinet's switch. They then pay a fee for each block of minutes traded.

Using the service consists of logging in, entering the price and quality of minutes members want to buy or sell, and specifying the route. The exchange then automatically matches buyer to seller and sets up the pathway to route the calls immediately--and anonymously. Sellers are telecom companies interested in unloading excess capacity. Buyers can be any kind of business.

That anonymous part is important for a few reasons. First, it lets carriers unload unused capacity at bargain-basement prices, with retail customers none the wiser. "If you have a branded deal with someone, you can sell off excess network bandwidth anonymously and not hurt those branded deals," said Chris Reid, Arbinet's director of marketing.

Another reason anonymity is important has to do with the global push to deregulate the telecommunications market. Take the United States as an example of what's happening throughout the world: Until recently, AT&T Corp. held a monopoly. After deregulation, MCI WorldCom Inc. and its kin popped up. Competition began, and prices eroded.

The same scenario has been duplicated globally. But when there's an exchange such as Arbinet available to a given country's incumbent phone company, it has a chance to sell capacity at fire-sale prices and thus undercut its newly born competitors. "One way the [incumbent monopoly] has to hold onto a market is to offer a cheaper rate on the exchange," Hockemeier said. He claims Arbinet has attracted several such large carriers.

Besides the Tier 1 carriers, Arbinet is also signing up plenty of smaller players buying and selling VOIP minutes.

While they comprise a mere 2 percent of the 200 billion to 250 billion voice-minutes market, they now represent about 20 percent of Arbinet's business.

VOIP providers like the nimbleness they get from Arbinet. A new market for such a provider might include, for example, such transitory populations of phone users as a boatful of merchant marines who pull into a harbor and buy phone cards en masse. Overnight, capacity need surges, yet a few weeks later, the ship is back to sea and capacity zeros out. Obviously, for a service provider, provisioning such fleeting demand by investing in equipment would be a waste of money. "You're not going to put gateways there for a month or two of business," said a spokesman for a VOIP provider who requested anonymity. "An exchange allows you to take advantage of it without putting up boxes everyplace."

The VOIP spokesman also likes the company Arbinet keeps: The exchange claims seven of the top 10 carriers as members. After all, an exchange "is only as good as its constituents," he said. "[Given the financial standing of Arbinet's Tier 1 members], there's a certain amount of financial diffusion there, if the buyers default."

Although Arbinet is not yet profitable—and officials won't predict when it might be—the independent e-marketplace's business model will probably help it survive even the currently eroding prices on the global telecom capacity market, predicted Seth Libby, an analyst with The Yankee Group, in Boston. That's because Arbinet isn't attempting to change the market so much as provide good alternatives to how it works.

"They're...taking processes like phone calls, networks and industry contacts to do business and centralizing them to some extent," Libby said. "You can pick up the phone and have access, the ability to buy from anybody else almost in real time from any other entity connected to those facilities. When you're looking to get capacity, you can call all those contacts at once and compare all those prices...As far as improving transaction processes, exchanges still do make sense."

Case file
Company: Arbinet-thexchange, New York
Industry served: Telecommunications
Business model: Trading site for telecommunications service providers; provider of telecom pricing and routing information
Performance: Exchange transacts 2 billion minutes per year out of a market of 200 billion to 250 billion, which represents about two-thirds of online exchange of minutes
Outlook: No projected date for reaching profitability, but recently closed $35 million round of financing
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