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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 75.19-0.1%Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: Eric who wrote (54900)9/4/2001 7:06:47 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) of 77400
 
I don't know, Eric. Worst case scenario, if Cisco can eek out $1B in real earnings (not proforma) this fiscal year, then I'd say they are worth about $7. However, if they can earning $2B, which is a very large stretch, then I'd say they are worth around $15. So if you take the average, I think they are worth around $11. However, I'm willing to give Cisco a 25% premium, because hell, they are Cisco. So that brings my estimate of what I'd be willing to pay to around $14. No matter how I slice it, I don't think we're overvalued here. I think at best we are fairly valued. At worst, we have a two month slide ahead of us. I hope you are right, but if not, I'll be picking some up soon on the cheap.
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