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Strategies & Market Trends : Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator
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To: Q. who wrote (68)6/20/1997 2:45:00 PM
From: Q.   of 167
 
Here are the previous occasions when the AAII sentiment 2-week average
bullishness level hit or exceeded 54%

2-wk bull ave 2-wk bear ave 3-wk bull ave chng in SP500
12 weeks later
8/21/87 56% 13% 55.7% -26%
8/28/87 59%
9/18/87 55%
9/25/87 57%
3/1/91 54% 28% 51% +2%
12/24/92 55% 13% 54% +3%
2/9/96 54% 16% 48% -2%
5/31/96 56% 12% 50% -5% (was worse for small caps)
2/28/97 54% 18% 51% +7% (-4% in 6 wks, worse for small caps)
6/20/97 54% 16% 53% (today)
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