From CompewterDr on Rocket. "
The PBCCH/PCCCH issue is a little more complicated than that. As I appreciate it, PBCCH/PCCCH is a sophisticated packet control function that maximizes efficiency and minimizes congestion in a GPRS network. Motorola already has the functions working in its phone. However, most GPRS networks do not have the features activated. Nokia is unsurprisingly not up to speed on them.
Nokia has suggested an alternative which was likely to be rejected so Nokia "withdrew" it before it got embarrassed. However, since most networks do not yet have active PBCCH/PCCCH functions, it appears that Nokia will be allowed to use BCCH and CCCH, a less sophisticated control method which I'm not sure is even a "packet" function, in order that GPRS phones can (finally) be sold in mass quantities this Fall/Winter.
Since most networks will ultimately turn on their PBCCH/PCCCH functions, the Nokia sets will have to be recalled to install it or, if feasible, will be simply used without it, though the effects on a network of combining compliant and non-compliant sets is not known. The latter option may not be technically feasible.
Nokia's public announcement today does not, as far as I know, deal with the issue--they simply say "We are selling millions of GPRS phones" this year. Technically, I suppose this is correct. However, the GPRS standard clearly requires PBCHH/PCCCH functionality in order for handset to be compliant.
The Euros are letting Nokia off the hook, it seems to me. Operators have a lot of say-so in these decisions. It is possible that the operators don't care what they sell. They may be as desperate to sell GPRS phones this year as Nokia is to (finally, after an about 18 month delay) put them on the market.
There was a good discussion about the issue this weekend at the SI Nokia board."
From VHerta on Rocket: "VHuerta, if Nokia sells phones with a built in recall it will not sell them in significant quantities. (Of course, this is always the case when manufacturers say that the phones are available but in scarce supply, the reason is they don't work very well).
One of the reasons I stay away from investing in banks and the like is that by relaxing loan evaluation they can produce loans which show profits in the short term and losses in the long term. Its not easy to tell that that is what's happening.
If there is enough sales of these phones to impact Nokia's financials, this will be very, very detrimental to Nokia's stock price, especially since the problem is known in advance. (Remember how desperate Nokia was to get a CDMA fix so a recall was not necessary.) "
From CompewterDr on Rocket: "Vhuerta: OK, lets say your an operator. Assume Nokia offers a good price on the phones, with the condition that they are not recallable for the PBCHH/PCCCH functionality (or lack thereof).
If you can mix the functionality, its OK. Most of the GPRS phones will not be heavily used for GPRS--they'll be used as phones, so you need only recall those actually heavily being used. And you only need to recall if you are spectrum limitted. (No one is claiming this can be done at this point, so why should an operator believe if Nokia is not willing to guarantee it.)
If you cannot mix the functionality, you need to either recall the phone or wait to activate PBCHH/PCCCH functionality until the non-compliant Nokia's are flushed out of the system, some two years before there are very few of them left. If you have sufficient spectrum, believe no one is going to actually use GPRS, or are really concerned about keeping your job after spending billions on 3g spectrum this might be the way to go.
If Nokia sells large number of phones with guaranteed recalls, that it is the all time short signal for Nokia stock.
--the doctor PS. I'll take a look at the Nokia thread sometime. "
From CompewterDr: " I am told, but cannot confirm, that handsets without the PBCCH/PCCCH functions can work fine in GPRS networks.
Once the networks activate the functions, why would they want a bunch of non-compliant handsets causing network congestion? If I were an operator, I would insist on Nokia doing whatever it took to activate the functions on non-compliant phones. Otherwisde, I'd find another vendor.
The whole episode is a great example of how agreed-upon standards get written off or are "postponed" if a big player has a problem with them.
If the phones don't fit the standard, fiddle the standard! Nokia claims that inter-operability testing has not taken place, that there is no sufficient verification that PBCCH/PCCCH works, etc. No mention of the reasons why these problems were not solved long ago.
Motorola apparently did not have any difficulty making its phones compliant. No whining from it about the issue. "
From VHerta: "Vhuerta, Of course, all large systems have bugs in them. Its a matter of the bugs being important ("showstoppers") or tolerable. I remember a computer supplier, selling Sun-clones and claiming "bug-for-bug" compatibility, as a benefit. Of course, the dominant player does not have to play by the rules, Microsoft has been doing it for years to destroy its competitors by aggressively inserting changes to make the system incompatible with its competitors software.
But this gets back to Sfx's chiding me that what is taking so long is "interoperability testing". This is why I think a paradigm shift is going on:
1. The standards process moves too slowly and produces results which are far from optimal. 2. The number of levels in which two different implementations must be compatible is enormous. If there was a single primary implementation, then that defines then standard and the interoperability testing becomes smaller.
The technological issue which requires this paradigm shift is increasing complexity. " |