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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 256.89-1.2%Dec 31 3:59 PM EST

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To: advocatedevil who wrote (51515)9/5/2001 4:03:38 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
Looking at the details of yesterday's NAPM report gives a stronger image for the economy than the headline number implies...


Category
Aug
Jul
Jun
May
Apr
Total Index
47.9%
43.6
44.7
42.1
43.2
Orders
53.1
46.3
48.6
45.5
45.9
Production
52.2
46.4
46.2
42.7
42.9
Employment
40.8
37.2
36.3
35.0
38.1
Deliveries
46.5
47.4
48.0
45.7
47.4
Inventories
37.7
35.8
40.8
38.7
39.6
Export Orders
51.9
48.2
45.5
45.6
47.3
Prices
33.9
38.7
42.3
45.2
48.9

Key Factors

50%+ levels in new orders and production (combined 55% weight)
leave the largest positive gain since 1996.
51.9% level in new export orders suggest some building strength from abroad.
Overall level still leaves a 13th month of sub-50%. August suggests
some significant softening in the sectoral recession.
Strong 6.8 point rise in new orders a real surprise given the continued
weakness in factory orders.
Employment index rose above 40% after 4 months below, will lag
improvement in overall index.
Prices paid fell to 33.9% from 65.7% at the start of the year.
Lessens severity of the profit squeeze.
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