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Technology Stocks : Network Appliance
NTAP 117.26+1.1%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (9111)9/10/2001 8:17:57 PM
From: David W. Taylor  Read Replies (1) of 10934
 
My $3,000 loaf was meant to be an exaggeration but not unduly so. Given the negative earnings of your recent gambles, I would have to say you paid too much.

Specifically on NTAP with a current P/E of 53.10, you probably paid 4 times too much. Traditional rules of thumb say that investors should expect to pay 15 times earnings for a share over the long term.

Given the extra volatility right now, it could be argued that 10 times earnings is a better bet. NTAP does actually have earnings and so there is theoretically a chance for such a stock. Ten times earnings would give you a price of around $2.10.

Oh, and yes, I am firmly on the sidelines. The multiple for entire market is similarly out of step. I'm looking for another 50% drop in the major averages before I could get excited again.
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