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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: paul_philp who wrote (46406)9/10/2001 9:17:18 PM
From: techreports  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
1) Interest rates are low;
2) Historically, unemployment is very low;
3) The world is at peace (by and large);
4) The pace of innovation is accelerating.


Or you could look at it this way
1) Inflation is low, meaning it will eventually go up
2) unemployment isn't going to get any better meaning we've peaked in this area. Time to buy is when unemloyment is near 6 or 10%, cause eventually it'll hit 4/5% when times get good
3) the world is a peace, but that means it can't get better, but worse. Time to buy is during a war, cause the war will eventually end.
4) innovation will probably continue (that could already be factored/discounted in stock prices however), but over 40% of households are invested in the stock market from probably just 10% in 1980. You think we're going to see another 3 fold rise in the next 17 years? Not likely..This is the main reason stock prices have outperformed earnings in the last 17 years and baffles Buffett i believe.

not saying we're doomed, just trying to offer another opinion/view.
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