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Biotech / Medical : Imclone systems (IMCL)
IMCL 0.1590.0%Oct 5 5:00 PM EST

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To: tuck who wrote (1663)9/19/2001 7:05:05 PM
From: Oak Tree  Read Replies (1) of 2515
 
You know Tuck, it might still be great news for shorters. For some reason bristol has not had great judgement in a long time in the drugs it is purchasing. For example, endostatin -- you remember the cover of the NY times.
My feelings about this C225 and its competition haven't changed. Remember, IMCL stillhas a 40% insider ownership. They have a drug that "might" help chemo work better -- it doesn't work on its own. They have a drug that attacks one of the EGFR receptors and works on only a subset of cancers. There are at least four receptors. There are already three EGFR drugs approved, some of which are easily manufactured (unlike C225). Other new EGFR drugs are approaching market. They will all probably be less expensive to make than C225.

C225, the lead drug, is a flash in the pan. Given that Bristol now owns 20%, it is likely that no one will "buy" the company. THere is a lot of hype around it. That might sell it but I'm not sure -- doctors can be quite fickle.

Its all a matter of nerves and time. I still think its likely to get over-hyped and will be in for a big crash.
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