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Strategies & Market Trends : Making Money is Main Objective

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To: lightwave51 who wrote (1660)9/30/2001 11:54:52 AM
From: lightwave51  Read Replies (2) of 2155
 
Q. So you see this going on for quite a while?

A decade. I think the market could be flat for 10 years.

Over 104 years of Dow Jones market history, excluding dividends, all the return
was earned in three secular bull markets: 1921 to 1929, 1948 to 1966 and 1982
to 1999. The other 58 years generated a negative return. Had you invested in
1929, it took you 24 years to recoup your initial investment. It took you 27 years
if you had invested in 1966, after inflation.

All the returns in the market are earned from the market going from a very
undervalued level to a very overvalued level. That's the time everyone jumps in --
but it doesn't keep going higher, because who are you going to sell it to? It
might be 25 years before you get back to Nasdaq 5000 - even though a year
ago, people would have told you that's crazy.

cbs.marketwatch.com;
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