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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Uncle Frank who started this subject10/4/2001 6:58:49 AM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (4) of 54805
 
More from Moore. This is exactly what I think and is my strategy. I am willing to miss the bottom bounce to know that the bear will not eat my capital. This is the total extent of my attempts to time the market. Much less extreme than --Mb's definition of market timing.

Paul

ethanard@microsoft.com raised an important issue, which was why run to
cash at this point in the market, given that valuations are so much
better. I was actually thinking more of keeping cash on the sidelines
than selling to create cash -- i.e. if you make a monthly contribution
to a portfolio, keep it out of the equity market for the foreseeable
future. My thought here is that we are laying the table for a very
prolonged gorilla game and you want to have as much dry powder for that
game as you can. I do not believe the market will bounce back, so I
think you can miss the bottom by several quarters and not miss out on
much of the appreciation, which I think will happen very gradually, but
also very profoundly.
Geoff
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