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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
QCOM 154.13-3.3%3:59 PM EST

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To: Jon Koplik who wrote (106019)10/4/2001 9:04:40 PM
From: Robin Plunder  Read Replies (1) of 152472
 
Jon, last spring we had a similar drop in QCOM which seemed hard to explain. After a while, it became apparent that we had an earnings deceleration, due to slower chip set sales, and earnings estimates were cut from 1.30 to 1.00 for this year. I hope we don't have another earnings deceleration, but it sure feels like it.

Last spring we also had realization that wCDMA would be delayed significantly, and the revenues to QCOM would also be delayed. Perhaps the Nxtl news is bringing home a similar realization: that, around the world, capital spending for wireless will be constrained, and this will lead to slower growth for QCOM. If China experiences slow growth, for example, due to a retrenchment of the US consumer, it seems likely that capital projects in China will be delayed.

It is really hard to imagine that chip sales will stagnate at this point....but maybe they are.

Robin
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