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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: epsteinbd who wrote (3449)10/8/2001 12:52:38 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
Epstein... Anthrax is notoriously difficult to spread on a widescale basis. It either requires huge quantities of it being dispersed, or the victim being exposed to a localized concentration.

Anthrax normally required ingestion of at least 10,000 spores for it to overcome the bodies natural defenses and establish itself. Now physically, that about the amount that fits on the head of a pin. But considering that all quantities are dispersed, or blow off to higher altitudes where people don't breath it in (the spores are very light), the odds are that only those in the general area where it is initially dispersed will face the most risk.

This is not to down-play the risk to nothingness... but one has to look at the Russian Anthrax plant that suffered a major accidental release, yet only a few hundred people were killed. And that was at a factory that produces the substance, and where the discharge was VERY LOCALIZED to the ventilation system of the building it was being produced in.

Unfortuate, the Russians have kept a close lid on the actual quantity of spores that were released:

nbc-med.org

tv.cbc.ca

I worry more about someone digging up a frozen victim of the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918-19, where some 20-40 million people died.

Hawk
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