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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II

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To: jim black who wrote (2543)10/8/2001 6:01:21 PM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (4) of 36161
 
Thanks Jim Black. We are on the same page.

Many people are still in heavy denial about how much America is hated and resented by millions in the Islamic world. Many, like Saddam, aren't even religious fundamentalists. Because of the brutal savagery he's inflicted on his own people, Saddam couldn't unite this significant minority that's spread throughout the Islamic world. Bin Laden is exactly the kind of charismatic leader I've long feared would appear at some point to unite them against us.

Anybody who thinks there are only a few % in those nations who would go to war against the west is sadly mistaken.

I don't read Arabic. But my understanding is that there are newspapers with significant circulation across the Islamic world that are strongly Anti-American. Who's buying all those newspapers, if only 2% of the Islamic world want to destroy America and its western allies??.

Does anyone here seriously expect us to believe that 2% of the population of Libya is enough to keep Ghadaffi in power? Or only 2% of the Iranian population supports their Anti-American regime?

And, what's the thread's guess as to the % of Pakistanis who support the Taliban vs how many are strongly in favor of a strong military alliance with America against them? Anybody who thinks we'd win that vote is in la la land IMHO.<lol>

More likely, Pakistan is near the top of the short list of Islamic nations vulnerable to the next radical fundamentalist takeover. And Saudi Arabia is another. Tic toc.

As far as what comes next for us? We may see an interesting parallel to the onset of WWII in Europe develop in the months ahead.

Britain and it's key European allies declared War on Nazi Germany when it invaded Poland in early Sept 1939. Then, from the end of September until the following April, there was a period commonly known as the "Phoney War" when relatively little happened.

With the long time periods of inaction we've seen between previous large scale terror attacks, we could be in for another period of "Phoney War". If so, skeptics will grow in numbers and vociferously declare the threat is over. That we've effective plugged the holes in our domestic security. That'll be the time to hunker down, folks.

The FBI and other government security agencies have said there are probably about 1,000 people in the US with close ties to the terror network. It would make sense for them to lay low for awhile and wait for exactly that kind complacency to creep back into public and official thinking. All the easier easier to for them to mount the next major attack.

Hard to believe, but it might actually take another massive hammer blow or a complete cut off of oil from the Persian Gulf for Americans to finally wake up to the reality that this IS a World War not some low impact police action.

A few will call us paranoid, Jim. So be it. I've watched this coming for many years and have the historical background to be able to side step the wishful thinking that's still endemic in public opinion.

The only similarity to between this war and Vietnam is that we are being drawn into it a little at a time. Just a few surgical strikes with good intelligence and follow up strikes over a period of a year or two and we'll wipe out these isolated bands of trouble makers. Sure...

One of the worst mistakes that can be made is to underestimate an adversary. And that's exactly what I''m seeing. Even if we could wipe out all members of the current terror organizations, thousands more would immediately volunteer to replace them

This war will most likely be episodic and could last many years, becoming a lot bloodier on both sides before half of our people even have a clue as to what we're up against.

Isopatch
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