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Biotech / Medical : Bioterrorism

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To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (157)10/9/2001 2:14:55 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (1) of 891
 
The best long-term plays are probably not the pure plays?

Agreed. None of the pure plays look like great long term stocks to me, although ACAM looks like a pretty solid company.

increased funding is here for the foreseeable future

Also agreed. Hard to guess the magnitude right now. If they try to spend it too quickly they'll just waste most of it.

1. Trickle: Any new business would likely only be hitting trickle plays at earliest six months or more from now, although some "heavy iron" companies like BDAL (or maybe WAT) might get some quick orders. Further down the road some standard trickle plays like NBSC and the "consumables" companies (IVGN, TECH, etc.) should benefit some.

2. Anti-bacterials and anti-virals: On anti-virals there's VPHM and GILD. Anti-bacterials there's CBST, MCDE (or whatever it is they're called now), XOMA and many bigger companies. On the antibody side there's ABGX already in the game and I assume the others (MEDX, PDLI, CAT, etc.) won't be far behind.

3. Plant-derived antibodies. Nothing yet public here (although maybe Monsanto is still active in this area?).

Overall, I think some of the most intriguing bioterror plays are not yet public.

Peter
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