I think your right when you state that an invasion of Taiwan from the PRC is not likely.
Frankly speaking, I would be a little worried when majority of Taiwan people really want independence so badly. But the KMT themselves say today that independence for Taiwan is a dead end. Well, let's face some possibilities. For instance, in case Taiwanese declare Taiwan as a country, the border defined between the mainland and Taiwan could become vague, considering the fact that a couple of very small islands, with not much residents, sitting just 1 mile off the mainland coast are belonged to Taiwan. Those islands make the PRC very worried, because the military buildup of Taiwan could be there just 1 mile off the mainland. IF PRC wants to occupy those very small islands by force, they should have done it long time ago. And also in the mainland side of the coast, the Taiwanese stationary troops can see several 5-story red Chinese characters by PRC, saying "Chinese don't fight Chinese, Be united." ... Whether or not there's a full-scale operation toward the main island really is out of question, with the navy force PRC has. |
