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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Michael Watkins who wrote (4904)10/14/2001 12:06:13 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
it seems at least possible if not likely that Iraq is the most unstable state of all in the region;

I have to disagree.. I still believe that Saudi Arabia, followed closely by Jordan, and Kuwait, are the most unstable regimes in the region.

Iraq has an extremely large Shiite population, so I don't see Bin Laden appealing to them any more than he does to the Iranians. And the Kurds probably don't have much fervor for Bin Laden either, but that could change.

Syria could be another potential victim of increasing fundamentalism. The nation is predominantly Sunni muslim, yet ruled by the Alawite clan of Shiites who are able to rule only through massive intimidation and force.

But Iraq... well, the Republican guards have the guns and their security apparatus, and so long as there is no discernible, or credible, ability for the opposition to fight him, they will remained subjugated.

Hawk
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