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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 659.00

+1.0%

4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (63714)	10/17/2001 5:26:20 PM
From: OldAIMGuy	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Hi LG, It's been quite a while since I posted here on MDD. I thought you'd like to see that my risk indicator has just this week finally signaled Low Risk for the first time since the Bear arrived 18 months ago. aim-users.com This risk indicator has only signaled Low Risk 5 times since 1982. Here's information on when those times have occurred: Message 16461582 Please note there's an typo in the 09/21/1990 info and the increase at 6 months should be 21.9%. This may not mean we've seen the ultimate lows (especially with the current uncertainty) but it has usually meant we're getting darned close. Here's another graph that goes back to 1986: aim-users.com I guess we'll know soon enough if this is now finally a low risk environment in which to invest. Best regards, Tom

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