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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7231)	10/24/2001 1:57:25 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) of 281500

There's an interesting difference of opinion on the current US-Israeli standoff re Israeli incursions into Area A. The Jerusalem Post and Haaretz report that the US is coming down harder on Israel than Arafat (though both US and Europe are pressing hard on Arafat to really move against terrorism), and Israel will begin withdrawing within 48 hrs. Debka, on the other hand, says all the scolding is for public show; but the real pressure is on Arafat. Just MHO. It will be interesting to see what happens. If Israel does withdraw with only Arafat's promises and arrests of the terrorists (Arafat is a specialist in three-day arrests), then the Jerusalem Post and Haaretz were right and Israel will have lost. If Arafat actually has to do something more drastic, such as close down offices of the terrorist groups or extradite anybody to Israel or a third party, Debka is right and Israel will have won. If the situation stays the same, it's more of a draw, but to Arafat's disadvantage.

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