John Pitera's Market Laboratory Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: John Pitera who wrote (4977)	10/24/2001 3:58:00 PM
From: peter n matzke	Read Replies (1) of 33421

Hi John, well, i lost a little interest when i was working on the analysis the theoretical best turn date for cotton was 10/6 which caused an acceleration to the downside which may mean that cotton may not bottom for another year, but how low can it go?? both cotton and coffee are at super cycle lows both have turn dates 11/30 and 12/30 which could cause a reversal cotton also has 11/9 and 2/2/02 sq 9 from highs cotton 117.2 4/24/95 103.9 91.4 79.7 68.8 58.7 49.4 40.9 33.2 its at 8.5 cycles now 29.6 price is way ahead of time coffee 318.00 high 5/29/97 251. 192 141 98 63 48.00 5.5 cycles again price is way ahead of time i may just buy a lone contract march/july 2002 so i don't forget about them i need to look at COT see if there may be anything positive in the weeds regards peter ps, if the us dollar would weaken i think that would help both cotton and coffee when you look at the long term currency charts i don't see how the dollar can maintain the run that its had. it seems almost a given that it will pull back sooner or later

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