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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 253.83+1.0%10:45 AM EST

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To: AK2004 who wrote (60579)10/27/2001 1:51:52 PM
From: PetzRead Replies (2) of 275872
 
Albert, you've come up with a perfect example for that engineering slogan, "Garbage in, garbage out."
LOL, ;^ ] Petz

re: John
there is no need to even split between celerons and pIIIs; quick proxy for distribution of p4 share would be a linear function. A good assumption for starting running rate would be 10% that is in the beginning of the quarter 10% of intel's processors were p4s. In order to achieve 46% average Intel would need to move to 82% of p4s. If intel would double the shipments of p4s by the end of this quarter than we should expect a shipments of 33 mil p4s in q4 alone. Now if intel is right about 50% p4s by the end of the year then the annualized rate of shipments at the end of year would be 354 mil processors.

I suspect that the actual function is exponential rather than liner which would make my calcs conservative. :-))
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