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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (131671)10/29/2001 5:11:03 PM
From: sun-tzu  Read Replies (3) of 436258
 
while your downside targets may be dead on, i think we also have at least 10 years of sideways action after that point. when looking at mean growth on all major indices from a monthly perspective, we are at historical highs with regards to the 50 and 200 month moving averages. that takes years and years to work off.

i've said it before, mean growth is mean growth...it doesn't just go away. we are well over two standards of deviation above the mean.

to rolatzi: there is no new paradigm. it's mathematical...regression to the mean, it ALWAYS happens.
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