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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Dealer who wrote (43762)11/1/2001 10:32:36 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 65232
 
yes SS, I agree... GreenSperm is the big problem
and consumers are not the ultimate engine in our economy
it is business investment
consumers are the tail on the dog
as long as the world is spinning in unison with recession,
business investment is likely to remain moribund

the next big stories imho will be bankruptcies
not just large US firms with wellknown brand names
but large US banks on the brink
gonna be reallllly hard to spur econ recovery in such a climate
I expect fear will grow, and legitimately so

did anyone notice how the Dow and S&P midSept gaps all filled up?
if not gappy gaps, then certainly large swoons
Dow rose to put density in the chart up to preWTC levels
then sputtered

rallies built upon real Fed stimulus, illusory Tax stimulus, and US flag waving... just wont sustain itself

I wonder who if anyone among pundits or talking TVheads has any credibility remaining ???

Mauldin's 3 Amigos (Junk Bonds, Mfg Cap Utilzn, NAPM prices) are all heading down with no sign of rising
an economic recovery is a hope & prayer without the 3 Amigos dancing
/ jim
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