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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: XBrit who wrote (2932)11/4/2001 6:45:12 AM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (3) of 99280
 
Julius, I believe that you are quite right, and the sudden surge in KLIC was more of an indication of the end of a move than its beginning. I fear that analysts looked at the relative value (price to book) of KLIC to the rest of the industry and decided, "it is cheap" at what was less than two times book at $14. However, those guys forgot that out of the $7.5 of book value, almost a full $5 is goodwill. Furthermore, KLIC is slowly starting to " over leverage itself". Last month it sold $125 MM in convertible debt, and while by itself, that sale was quite smart (just like the recent convertible of NVLS and LRCX), their debt load is going to be in the neighborhood of $450 MM, with sales rate running at about $600 MM per year, it is getting a little "excessive".

Zeev
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