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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Rich1 who wrote (3298)11/5/2001 9:14:23 PM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
<<When everybody on this thread was Bearish they made fun of the ARMS indicator now we are asked to believe it cause its turning bearish..>>

As I recall, the "making fun of" had more to do with those who proclaimed that the signal the ARMS index was giving HAD NEVER FAILED! Then, when it did fail, there was no comment about that. Ultimately, one can argue that the extreme ARMS readings did presage the turnaround, of course. The other argument re: the ARMS index was that possibly signals work differently in bear and bull markets. Now, it's possible we're in a new leg of a bull market, so the bearish readings might simply imply a breather in this rally (now up more than 25% in the Naz). Or they may be proven as wrong as the bullish readings were during a brutal bear decline. Time will tell.

the freep
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