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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis
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To: TechTrader42 who wrote (23430)11/6/2001 4:42:57 PM
From: Joseph Silent  Read Replies (2) of 52237
 
I see us all struggle in that

interesting world which lies between predicting markets and marketing predictions. :)

Uncertainty going forward is always to be expected, yes? Now if there was uncertainty going backward, I would be terribly worried. It would mean we were all facing the wrong way. :)

On a more serious note now .... about the CIs. Forgive me if the question is silly. I assume you have to do some sort of normalization with "available" data to get numbers between 0 and 100. *If* the market is trending, and if the input numbers also trend (and quite possibly start to look different from "typical" ranging data), is it possible for the CI computation to consistently yield normalized numbers at the top (or the bottom) end of the range, without really signifying a "topping" (or "bottoming") in complacency? In other words, the index correctly reflects the semantics of complacency, but fails to locate the top (bottom) of the complacency process.

Thanks,

J
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