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Strategies & Market Trends : Guidance and Visibility

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Dec 19 9:30 AM EST

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To: 2MAR$ who started this subject	11/12/2001 1:08:38 PM
From: greenehugh	of 208838

<OT> Experts view of crash from another board: I have been in the airline buissness for 20+ years and would like to offer my ideas on what is known so far. As everyone knows the majority of crashes happen during takeoff and landing and in alot of cases are the result of pilot error. The picture on the news of the engine in the parking lot of a gas station leads me to believe that there is a "posibility" that this aircraft was hit with some sort of surface to air missile. I say this for the following reason , The engine appears to be a General Electric CF-6. In the picture you can see the brown blade containment shrowd which is basically intact. The shrowd is a kevlar material which keeps the fan blades from leaving the engine structure should a blade or group of blades separate. The kevlar shrowd was incorparated into the engine to keep the departing blades from exiting the engine cowling and striking the aircraft. If blade separation was the culprit that shrowd would be ripped to pieces which it is not. Also , behind this shrowd you can see the oil servicing panel which is on the right hand side of the cowling , this indicates that the LARGE HOLE on the side of the engine is in fact the bottom of the engine. Why is this important ? First , if the high pressure turbine came apart and exited the engine casing it would of ripped the casing in more of a radial direction instead of making a big hole as you can see in the picture. The big hole , fairly "intact" blade containment shrowd ? I cant think of anything that could of mechanically happened for the engine to "self destruct" like that. The general electric CF-6 engine is a reliable powerplant , Alot of technology was put into the design to counteract "normal" catastrophic failure. The bottom line , A missle launched from the ground penetrated the bottom of the engine causing it to imediately stop from a high thrust setting , which in turn ripped theengine from the pylon. Or, could have been a stork.

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