VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Sully- who wrote (44285)	11/16/2001 11:59:44 AM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) of 65232

is Yaley that Shiller guy? I expect a slow slide on real estate rather than a crash sharply lower mortgage rates has helped sustain the housing market but the oft-neglected employment factors in also so many pundits believe rates make the story but the significant effects are shared: rates and jobs we will see the high end of property prices is and will continue to be the most vulnerable when Lennar and other home builders go bankrupt, then you will know the crash in prices is underway hasnt happened yet I give it 2:1 odds against a RE crash the upcoming Fed-stimulated recovery next winter/spring will forestall such a crash the main question in my economic minion mind is whether the recovery is very temporary, leading to another recession after much consternation, methinks the fleeting nature of the recovery depends greatly on the level of bankruptcies and other cleaning off the books of bad debt I saw Burlington Northern went bankrupt yday another wellknown name dont be surprised to see Xerox dead & buried before long / jim

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next