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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (10762)11/18/2001 2:00:52 PM
From: ratan lal  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
and come up with the most accurate analysis of foreign affairs that we can.


Unfortunately there is no such thing as 'accurate analysis'. All analysis is based on stories, hearsay, facts (true or false), eyewitness accounts (together with his/her biases, accuracy and recollection) etc. etc. And the analyser has his/her own biases as to what he/she wants to believe and what he/she wants accepts as facts.

As even you dont believe the french reporters who "I presume" reiterated what Bin Laden 'told' them "hopefully without an interpreter".

Based on one little sentence above you will notice the difficulties people encounter in 'analysing' anything 'accurately'.

I think its best to state that based 'on my understanding', faulty as it may be, here is 'my analysis'.

In the stock market people use that analysis to make money. Of course if they are wrong, some of them also jump off tall buildings. And anyone can be wrong. I dont remember the exact details but a couple of years back there was a group of Nobel Prize winners in economics who had invested heavily on margin and their mistake was about to ruin the world economy. Greenspan moved in and together with the Governors of the New York banking system took action to avoid the catastrophy. Of course his actions 'in my analysis and IMHO' caused the problems of high unemployment and economic malaise that we now have.
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