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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: LLCF who wrote (11314)11/25/2001 12:18:30 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Yeah, there is a lot of wishful thinking projections and the like in the Kurzweil projection. I guess my point is that there is a lot of bearish analysis I read on places like SI that takes an overly historic accounting type read of the situation without asking "what has changed?" Some of the crazier projections for stock prices example, don't think about what has happened to population and inflation alone let alone the real growth over the last 70 years, as well as the evolution of the financial system and capital deepening etc. Or that as Maurice says life expectancies are higher now etc.

To be fair there isn't an securities analyst on the planet that looks at that stuff without tons of adjustments if at all. The earnings power of the company is used to value the entity.

That may be true of equities analysts.

David
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