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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: Shack who wrote (22289)11/25/2001 3:43:47 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (3) of 209892
 
OT.

As I try to put the puzzle together, it strikes me that there are several interesting developments which seem to be lining up TA-wise.

Firstly is the sell-off in Bonds. Here is the long bond historical chart.

stockcharts.com

Although not shown here is the fact that we have broken below the most recent UT line. It certainly looks like we have some room to sell off further.

Secondly, this chart looks poised for a strong move down.

futures.tradingcharts.com

The clownbuck has retraced 61.8% of its recent swoon and is back to 118 resistance. A right shoulder? It looks like a great short to me. I hypothesize that the 'hot money' as Noland calls it will not stick around in the US debt market if it continues to tank. We're talking billions of dollars internationally. These outflows would be the catalyst for a US$ drubbing. This leads to my next chart:

angelfire.com

A move down in the clownbuck would likely precipitate a move up in the Yellow Dog of some degree. My roadmap for the HUI has a major turn up arriving this week after perhaps one more little flush.

Just looking for some rationale here.
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