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Strategies & Market Trends : Commodities - The Coming Bull Market

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To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (939)11/25/2001 7:52:17 PM
From: craig crawford  Read Replies (2) of 1643
 
>> why do you think lead has performed in the way it has? <<

beats me. like was said before, there hasn't been much exploration for lead recently, just like with it's underground neighbor silver. the difference with silver is there are still above ground stocks that can find it's way to market. i don't think there is much lead hiding out there. it's hated. it's been removed from practically everything. no more lead in gasoline, no more lead pipes, no more lead for ammo, no more lead candles, soon no more lead solder, etc. about all it's used for is car batteries these days. perhaps the market is finally saying that lead can't be removed from much anymore so demand will stabilize with the demand for batteries.

perhaps the market is saying with all this 0% financing for cars going on auto sales are going to stimulate demand. i'm no expert on this stuff but i do know that coal was in the dumps for years and was pretty despised right before it took off. most people had written it off. now people talk about zinc demand not coming back for years (pretty bearish talk) and you have even more hatred of lead than zinc. (see comment below) no one seems interested in lead while it sits at prices nearly half the depression lows. the lowest prices on record. i like the fact that lead is holding it's own while no one likes it. well it's up ytd so i guess the market likes it (if only a little). i'm sure there are other commodities that are even more bullish looking than lead, but lead is something a simple guy like me can understand.

Asked if WMC may also be interested in BHP Billiton's Cannington silver, lead and zinc mine in Queensland, Mr Morgan said WMC was "less interested in lead than we are in zinc".
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