Bob,
<<It's an insurance company - a no-no in my book>>Why so?
I do not know how to figure out if an insurance company is "buying losses". As Buffett said, it is easy in insurance business to get immediate profit by selling policies cheaply. However, this leads to long-term losses, when the claims start piling in.
Another issue, of lesser importance, is that you don't know what the company is doing with the float. I assume that most of the companies buy treasuries, so this may not be an issue, but it is possible that they decide to buy HHH at the top...
I can believe in Buffett and his gang, so I could buy BRK or Wesco. I have tough time believing other insurance companies. Of course, it is possible to look at the historical performance and buy AIG or CB. The problem is still, that you have to believe the management totally, perhaps more so than in other businesses like AXP, G, KO, or MSFT.
Jurgis |