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Strategies & Market Trends : Commodities - The Coming Bull Market

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To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (971)	11/28/2001 10:20:42 AM
From: craig crawford	Read Replies (1) of 1643

i would think that this push towards dual batteries and then eventually 36-volt batteries would mean an increase in lead usage. also, don't totally count lead-acid batteries out yet. they are so much cheaper than nickel and other types that there is quite a bit of development going on to raise the performance of lead-acid for electrical and hybrid applications. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Woolf said the vehicle would initially use nickel-metal hydride batteries, but added that General Motors was leaning toward lead-acid batteries for its SUV models Toyota's Prius and Honda's Insight have opted for nickel- metal hydride batteries. Analysts said nickel-metal hydride batteries had better chemistry and further development was needed for lead-acid technology to cope with the heavy duty cycle required for HEVs. But some were confident the lead-acid camp could make up lost ground, simply because of cost advantages. The Electric Vehicle Association's Woolf said a lead-acid battery pack for HEVs costs around $200. Other technologies were at least three or four times as expensive and the car industry was not willing to pay such a price in the longer term, he said. ``In the early year or two, lead won't be there -- but it will be in the longer term,'' ALABC's Moseley said. Potentially, lead would have much to lose if nickel maintained a stranglehold on HEVs, given that around three-quarters of the six million tons per year market is used in batteries -- mainly for automotive uses. Message 15921183

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