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Gold/Mining/Energy : Swing Trading Toronto Stock Exchange Listed Stocks

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To: Eva who wrote (2636)11/30/2001 3:40:35 PM
From: Canuck Dave  Read Replies (1) of 2773
 
Can I throw in my two cents worth on why I'm bearish?

Ok, I no longer believe the stock market is a leading indicator of economic potential. With the explosion of individual investing, I think it has become a lagging indicator.

One only has to look at the US unemployment figures and say "Recession. What recession?" 5.4% is a number associated with prosperity, not recession. The market won't fall until those investors start to be washed out.

Another example. Looking back to 1982, the PE of the S&P 500 was under 10 (!) and the recovery well under way, yet the markets languished. Very few saw the Tech revolution coming.

Speaking of Tech, does anyone seriously believe we'll get another Telcom buildout or surge in PC demand to match that of the last 10 years? Yet, tech stocks are still the most active on the markets, and CTV Newsnet displays the biggest TSE stocks, then a special listing of the high tech issues. Investors are behind the curve. Period. Stock market lagging indicator.

CD
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