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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: sylvester80 who wrote (9692)12/2/2001 3:09:22 AM
From: Psycho-Social  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
Afghanistan & the Financial Markets:
Is this the U.S.'s exit strategy for Afghanistan?
1. Stop Al Queda from using Afganistan as a training ground and sanctuary.
2. Break the Taliban's hold on power and replace them with a government that won't support terrorist groups.
3. Prevent mass starvation from occurring.
4. See that a democratic government is formed with fair representation for all the major ethnic groups.
5. Assure education and political rights for its women.

If so, we're going to be there a long, long time and we're going to pay a lot of money for it. As I've said before, our easy victories are behind us, and even those are not all they seemed. It may start in the next few weeks, or it may take longer, but this attempt by the world's dominant Christian nation to use its military and economic might to transform muslim Afghanistan into a U.S. style democracy is going to run into difficulties in the not too distant future. To the extent that the recent strong rally is partially based on our renewed sense of our own power, it may need some "give-back". The rude awakening will probably not begin to occur until early 2002. Possible precursors: Bombing of a Coke factory in Nepal. Bombings in Jerusalem.
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