Ian, Iagree that UTEK represents the best value of the stocks, you mentioned, with the least amount of risk.
I was looking buy some shares of AYST, or SVGI, or TER on Monday. Right now I can only do one of the three. All three should do well in the next 9 to 12 months. However, it appears that Teradyne is the largest of the three and the street for now seems to favor larger cap stocks. Hence the high P.E. of AMAT, and KLAC. Upgrades of Teradyne in the past week may move it higher in the near term.
Iam not a technically oriented person, and I know that there are many persons that can explain the technology to me. This thread has several people that have forgotten more technology than I will ever know.
But I do try to determine the psychology of the market. To me it was clear that investors for the past year love large cap, name brand stocks. Companies such as Coke, Gillett, MSFT, INTC, AMAT, and Novellus have done well because they are large cap and name brands. Based on this non technical analysis I would expect Teradyne to out perform ASYT, or SVGI in the near term. (six months or less)
My plan is to invest in one of the three mentioned, hopefully have some short term gains and re-invest it all in UTEK when UTEK closes above 24. To me is a math problem combined with probabilities. One hundred shares of Teradyne will buy almost 200 shares of UTEK or l00 shares of AYST. Three good choices.
What would be your estimate of the situation. How would you evaluate the problem?
Sincerely,
Jerome |