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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Mark Adams who wrote (11691)12/7/2001 6:16:52 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
No question but that debt has a deflationary tendency all by itself. If someone is able to service the debt out of cash flow, no problem. If that person loses the ability to service debt out of cash flow, he/she is forced to sell off assets. It's called a "fire sale." Or maybe the debtor doesn't sell the assets, and the creditor gets a judgment and then sells the assets, e.g., foreclosure. Same difference.

Fire sales and foreclosures rarely (never?) get the fullest, best price for property. The debtor is better off selling cheap than going through legal proceedings because there are additional costs involved. But unless you are able to pull the wool over their eyes, buyers sniff out forced sales and then they stonewall until the price comes down.

Similar situations occur without the additional ratchet downward of forced sales and legal proceedings. If you are in dire straits, you can't hold out for top dollar, you have to take the first credible offer.

Therefore, (unserviceable) debt causes deflation.
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