A Stimulus Not Worth Passing
The New York Times December 9, 2001
If President Bush truly wants an "economic stimulus" package on his desk this year, he needs to do more than exhort Congress to get moving. He and the Republican leaders in the House and Senate should drop the pretense that tax-break giveaways to corporations and the wealthiest Americans are the key to reviving the economy.
On Friday, Republicans broke off bipartisan negotiations on stimulus legislation, raising doubts about whether any measure to help the economy can be enacted this year. But in a slump like the one right now, an ineffective and lopsided bill is worse than no bill at all. Congress has to decide this week whether it wants to provide a real stimulus and help those hurt by the downturn, or give handouts to the people who need them least.
The country would be better off with no stimulus package than with one that abolishes the minimum corporate tax, as Republicans demand. Part of the sweeping tax reforms of 1986, the minimum tax is a sensible rule requiring corporations that have used loopholes and deductions to reduce their tax bills to zero to pay at least something to the federal Treasury. With the prospect of deficits stretching out to the horizon, and the administration claiming that it cannot afford to spend more money on homeland security, the idea of permanently eliminating this source of revenue is outrageous.
Republicans initially also wanted corporations to get refunds based on the repeal of these taxes, retroactive to 1986. The outcry over that proposed giveaway forced them to back down a bit from that idea. But tax law is infamously tricky, and the measure remains structured so companies could use it to recoup past taxes. The positive effect on the economy would be negligible, and the federal Treasury would be the loser. The winners, beneficiaries of huge and unnecessary windfalls, would include General Electric, General Motors, I.B.M. and even Enron, the bankrupt energy concern.
The Bush administration and Congress did enough damage to the government's long-term financial health with the tax cuts enacted last June, and the country is now seeing the results in the future deficits. The stimulus package backed by the White House would accelerate the high-end tax cuts that were approved earlier this year but are not scheduled to take effect for several years. These particular cuts will almost certainly be reconsidered and perhaps repealed by Congress when it starts wrestling with deficits and the need to make drastic spending cuts next year. Sticking them into the stimulus package is just a ploy to nail down a benefit to the wealthiest 1 percent of America before the country realizes it cannot afford the bill.
Last week, Republican leaders agreed to include in the stimulus an extension of unemployment benefits for nearly eight million Americans out of work. They took that step to secure Democratic votes for a separate bill to grant Mr. Bush expanded trade-negotiating authority. Republicans have also accepted the concept of tax breaks for those low- income Americans left out of the tax cut earlier this year. But these are only half-steps, hardly worth trading for the budget-wrecking effects of the other provisions. Extended unemployment benefits under the Republican plan would still go only to white- collar workers, not to part-time or recently hired people who were laid off. At a minimum, the stimulus bill needs to help all Americans who need jobless and health benefits.
There can certainly be room for tax breaks for business in a stimulus package. One sound approach would be to expand business tax deductions for future expenses and depreciation. Such steps would truly encourage new investment and also focus their benefits on the small and medium-size businesses hit hardest by the economy today. Congress should also include a measure to help the states close their budget deficits.
There is an impasse in Congress now on the stimulus, and Republicans favoring a bill for rich and big corporate taxpayers apparently think they do not need to make concessions. They simply plan to blame the Democrats if nothing is passed. That is why Mr. Bush needs to stop his exhortations and do the dirty work of negotiating with Congress. The presidential bully pulpit goes only so far. More welcome would be some tough decisions to get a bill that can not only be passed but can also do some good.
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