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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: Robert Scott who wrote (26049)12/14/2001 11:24:33 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 52237
 
Since you're plotting 24-month return, inclusion of the 1980 recession has the rate of return for the SPX regressing to zero on the right side of the graph. The 30-year treasury bond wasn't available in 74, and inflation then was also over 10 percent. I don't see the unemployment rate as a rationale for being in or out of market either, especially regards the intermediate term.
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