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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace
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To: AllansAlias who wrote (25308)12/17/2001 10:50:54 AM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (2) of 209892
 
On Monday we will have a report on the housing market. Tuesday, more on housing. Wednesday has the Conference Board's Leading Economic Indicators. This one is spinnable, if the market is in that sort of mood. The actual figure is easily estimated. It's Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Survey on Thursday. More from ECRI on Friday, plus Personal Income, Semi Book-To-Bill and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey. Admittedly, one of the FOMC's favored inflation indicators will be delivered Friday in Personal Consumption Expenditures. There is some disagreement inside the Fed on its signal value, but they do consider it.

ECRI released its U.S. Coincident Index through November 2001. The smoothed growth rate dipped to -2.4% from -2.2% in the same period. The recession has yet to end. The USCI is designed to decline during recession and start increasing when a recovery begins.

Of course all this has nothing to do with the Earnings Warning Season embarking here... upside surprises should be the order of the day no doubt<g>

On an aside...leftover Italian Hoagie with mayo and sweet peppers for breakfast here...mmmmm<g> I am now more convinced than ever it's the prosciutto...and the roll, that makes it such a real experience<g>
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