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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)

INTC 37.51

-0.8%

Dec 15 3:59 PM EST

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To: Raymond Thomas who started this subject	12/17/2001 3:54:27 PM
From: ptanner	Read Replies (5) of 186894

*** * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * * I thought it would be nice to restart the traditional EPS contest. While this round will not be as full featured, there are a couple of additions that I hope will make it more interesting: (1) teams; and (2) adding Intel to the game. For each company there will be five categories: AMD Contest Categories (a) Total Revenues (b) CPU Revenues (c) Flash Revenues (d) Number of CPUs sold (e) EPS (diluted) (f) Closing stock price day after earnings release. Intel Contest Categories (a) Total Revenues (b) Intel Architecture Group Revenues (c) Intel Architecture Group Profits (d) Intel Communications Group Revenues (e) EPS (diluted) (f) Closing stock price day after earnings release. Contest Rules (1) Each participant may place estimates for AMD and/or Intel on either the Moderated AMD thread, the Intel thread, or by PM. All entries must include all categories to be considered for top individual or team entries. Public posting would be preferred to assist in case an entry is missed. Participants may elect to be a member of a team as follows: AMD, Intel, Other. For "other" you may select another group name but the planned team scoring makes large teams advantageous. Entries without a team designation will be considered "Other." At this time, I am only planning to allow entries from SI participants. (2) Entries will be dated per the posting time on SI. All entries may be modified once but the date submitted will be changed to the modification time. There will be a small scoring bonus for early entries. If AMD and/or Intel publicly announces a warning on earnings (up or down) then all entries will be allowed one revision even if previously modified. (3) The last day for entries will be the close of market 2 days prior to the first quarterly earnings release. I couldn't find the earnings release schedule for AMD or Intel so assistance would be appreciated. (4) Individual Scoring: For each of the categories the results will be compared to the actual value reported with an adjustment based on the standard deviation of the entries (abs[difference/stddev]). If entries are all in a small range of values then this category will be weighted lower than if there is a wide range of entries. The best (smallest) score will be for an estimate close to the actual reported value. If a company does not provide a clear value for a category then that category will be eliminated from the scoring. An individual's score will consist of the sum of all six category scores less a bonus for early entries. (5) Team Scoring: The five lowest individual member scores from each team will be added to determine the team score. Other methods were considered but I wanted to avoid any temptation to "join" the other team as a means to victory. Teams must have at least five individual scores. There will be individual winners published for each company category. Individual and team winners will be determined for each company and overall. The contest will begin after the market closes at 4PM EST on Monday, December 17. All entries posted before that time will be disregarded.** I will try to post summaries of entries to date regularly during the contest as the holiday season permits. Regards, -PT

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